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KNVB Beker
Hoek
T S T S T
6–4
Full-time
Rijnvogels
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoek Rijnvogels
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Excelsior '31 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 ROHDA Raalte 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Hsc 21 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 HZVV 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Halsteren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 SVV Scheveningen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 TEC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Capelle 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 URK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Sparta Nijkerk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 FC Lisse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 VV Scherpenzeel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Blauw Geel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoek Rijnvogels
1–0 G. Martens
6′
7′
S. Koppenol 1–1
2–1 S. Schalkwijk
13′
3–1
25′
4–1 R. de Poorter
41′
Half-time 4–2
65′
I. Charai 4–2
76′
G. Derby 4–3
5–3 M. Steenpoorte
84′
6–3 N. Aelterman
86′
89′
I. Charai 6–4
Full-time 6–4

Line-ups

Hoek

Coach: Gerard de Nooijer

Rijnvogels

Coach: D. Hijzelendoorn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.