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DBU Pokalen
Referee: Mathias Lykke
Ringsted
T S T T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ringsted Skjold Sæby
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 57%
80%
33%
Average goals
5,6
6,0
Scored
2,6
4,3
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+2,7
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
13,0
7,0
Scored
7,0
7,0
Conceded
6,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+7,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ringsted 28. · Skjold Sæby 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 VSK Århus 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Holbæk B&I 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Oksbøl 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Sundby 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Aalborg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Hillerød 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 HIK 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Kolding B 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Brønshøj 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Lyngby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Odense 1 1 0 0 +11 3
16 B 93 1 1 0 0 +10 3
17 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +7 3
18 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +6 3
19 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +6 3
20 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
21 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Odder 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Raklev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Tune 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 B 1909 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
42 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
44 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
45 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
46 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
47 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
48 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
49 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
86 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
87 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
88 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
91 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
92 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
94 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ringsted Skjold Sæby
14′
L. Boren 0–1
1–1 L. Dahl
45′
Half-time 1–1
G. Moller 🔁
↦ S. Jensen
46′
M. Melgaard 🔁
↦ L. Dahl
46′
2–1 M. Melgaard
51′
61′
🔁 J. Skaaning Jakobsen
↦ N. Toft
61′
🔁 K. Padi
↦ G. Fink-Jensen
69′
🟨 F. Levinsen
V. Koch Hansen 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
69′
E. Werner 🔁
↦ F. Mohrsen
69′
74′
🔁 S. B. Smedegaard
↦ F. Perlman
74′
🔁 S. Thers
↦ L. Boren
75′
🟨 J. Iskov
3–1 V. Koch Hansen
77′
78′
🔁 U. Espersen
↦ F. Krath
T. Roesdahl 🔁
↦ S. Heinz
83′
M. Melgaard 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 S. B. Smedegaard
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ringsted

1 A. Fischer
2 T. Hermansen
3 A. Berthelsen
8 Z. Rahbek
10 M. Sander
18 S. Jensen
13 F. Mohrsen
19 F. Balslev
16 L. Dahl
21 J. Larsen
87 S. Heinz
Bench (9)
4 G. Moller
6 L. Green
9 V. Koch Hansen
11 N. Thaulow
12 T. Roesdahl
14 M. Green
15 E. Werner
17 M. Melgaard
20 M. Mikkelsen

Skjold Sæby

2 G. Fink-Jensen
4 A. Riis
5 J. Iskov
6 N. Toft
7 F. Levinsen
8 M. Sondergaard
9 F. Krath
10 F. Perlman
11 L. Boren
19 P. Rosendal
21 M. Tranberg
Bench (6)
12 S. B. Smedegaard
14 J. Skaaning Jakobsen
15 H. Flores
16 K. Padi
17 S. Thers
18 U. Espersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.