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Coupe de France
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Sainte-Anne Gazelec FC Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ancienne Château-Gontier 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Carnoux 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Chauvigny 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Racing Besançon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Canet Roussillon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Concarneau 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Chalon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Chantilly 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Gosier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Bayeux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Marmande 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Montceau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Yvetot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Poitiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Istres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Reims 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Union Saint-Jean 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Mazeres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Montreuil 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Beaucouzé 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Croix Football IC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 APM Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Hauts Lyonnais 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Rhone-Vallee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Sarre Union 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Steenvoorde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Seyssinet-Pariset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Espoir Ste Luce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
113 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
114 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.