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Coupe de France
4–7
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ancienne Château-Gontier 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Carnoux 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Chauvigny 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Racing Besançon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Canet Roussillon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Concarneau 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Chalon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Chantilly 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Gosier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Bayeux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Marmande 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Montceau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Yvetot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Poitiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Istres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Reims 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Union Saint-Jean 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Mazeres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Montreuil 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Beaucouzé 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Saint-Pauloise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Croix Football IC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 APM Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Hauts Lyonnais 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Rhone-Vallee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Sarre Union 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Steenvoorde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Seyssinet-Pariset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Espoir Ste Luce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Dominicaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
117 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
118 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SA Beaumont Aubervilliers
1–0 S. Ngom
5′
19′
S. Mbiagnin 1–1
22′
S. Mbiagnin 1–2
2–2 A. Derouard
42′
44′
N. Camara 2–3
Half-time 2–4
49′
J. Chery 2–4
55′
J. Chery 2–5
3–5 B. Riclin
70′
77′
S. Tandiang 3–6
80′
S. Mbiagnin 3–7
4–7 A. Vardin
84′
Full-time 4–7

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.