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Copa del Rey
Referee: Gorka Etayo
Ejea
1–0
Full-time
Hércules
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Betis 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Estepona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Real Ávila 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
65 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
67 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
111 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
112 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ejea Hércules
15′
🟨 Retu
R. Lopez 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Carlos Mangada
↦ Mario García
Hakim 🟨
59′
64′
🔁 Nico Espinosa
↦ Alvarito
64′
🔁 Oriol Soldevila
↦ Javi Moreno
Gabri Palmás 🔁
↦ Luis Carbonell
66′
B. Fedior 🔁
↦ Ramón López
66′
1–0 Rodri Val ⚽
B. Fedior
70′
73′
🔁 A. Coscia
↦ Antonio Aranda
Isaac Boudaoud 🔁
↦ Rodri Val
83′
84′
🔁 R. De Palmas
↦ Retu
Ismael Fadel 🔁
↦ Sergio Carrasco
87′
H. Diaby 🟨
91′
93′
🟨 C. Mangada
I. Boudaoud 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ejea

13 David Troya
3 Antonio Sola
4 Antonio Ginoves
15 Hassou Diaby
16 Hakim El Mokh
10 Sergio Carrasco
14 Javier Tudela
8 David Iglesias
7 Ramón López
17 Rodri Val
11 Luis Carbonell
Bench (11)
19 Gabri Palmás
9 B. Fedior
12 Isaac Boudaoud
20 Ismael Fadel
18 Jorge Álvarez
23 Pablo Santana
21 Álvaro Martín
22 Marcos Bravo
1 Yzan Acin
2 Raúl Sola
5 Eduardo Mingotes

Coach: Iván Martínez

Hércules

13 Nando
5 Josema Gómez
20 Sotillos
21 Retu
2 Rubén Cantero
14 Mario García
7 Alvarito
22 Antonio Aranda
8 José Artiles
11 Javi Moreno
17 Marcos Mendes
Bench (11)
19 Carlos Mangada
10 Nico Espinosa
18 Oriol Soldevila
9 A. Coscia
24 R. De Palmas
1 Carlos Abad
15 Samu Vázquez
4 Antonio Montoro
12 Richmon Dapaah
16 F. Angong
6 Roger Colomina

Coach: Rubén Torrecilla

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.