OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kongsvinger
Odd
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |
Egersund
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |
Kongsvinger
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 4 |
Start
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |
hodd
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 6 |
Aalesund
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +0 | 9 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |
Moss
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Raufoss
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Odd
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 7 |
| 12 |
Stabaek
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Lyn
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
Kongsvinger
Skeid
Kongsvinger
Elverum
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Moss
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.