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NM-cupen
Referee: Mischa Huru Kellerhals
Strommen
T S T S S
1–3
Full-time
Mjondalen
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strommen Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
5,5
2,5
Scored
3,2
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
3,5
Scored
4,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Strommen 18. · Mjondalen 32.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 2 2 0 0 +17 6
2 Alta 2 2 0 0 +14 6
3 Rosenborg 2 2 0 0 +13 6
4 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +12 6
5 Haugesund 2 2 0 0 +12 6
6 Tromso 2 2 0 0 +11 6
7 Sarpsborg 08 2 2 0 0 +9 6
8 Fredrikstad 2 2 0 0 +9 6
9 Viking 2 2 0 0 +9 6
10 Brann 2 2 0 0 +8 6
11 Tromsdalen Uil 2 2 0 0 +8 6
12 Kristiansund 2 2 0 0 +7 6
13 Egersund 2 2 0 0 +7 6
14 KFUM Oslo 2 2 0 0 +7 6
15 Stabaek 2 2 0 0 +7 6
16 Lillestrom 2 2 0 0 +7 6
17 Sandefjord 2 2 0 0 +7 6
18 Strommen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
19 Asane 2 2 0 0 +6 6
20 Rana 2 2 0 0 +5 6
21 Sogndal 2 2 0 0 +5 6
22 Bryne 2 2 0 0 +5 6
23 Aalesund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
24 Lyn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
25 Os 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Ranheim 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Moss 2 2 0 0 +3 6
28 Ham-Kam 2 2 0 0 +3 6
29 Pors Grenland 2 2 0 0 +2 6
30 Molde 2 1 1 0 +7 4
31 Stromsgodset 2 1 1 0 +5 4
32 Mjondalen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
33 Grorud 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Træff 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Levanger 2 1 0 1 +7 3
36 Eidsvold 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Raufoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Jerv 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Start 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Lysekloster 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Lørenskog 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Vidar 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Torvastad 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Skeid 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Bjarg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Nardo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Fram 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Sotra 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Flekkerøy 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Strindheim 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Kjelsås 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Elverum 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Flint 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Sortland 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Bærum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Nordstrand 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Asker 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Brattvåg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Arendal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Valerenga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ull/Kisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
67 hodd 2 0 1 1 -2 1
68 Ørn Horten 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 IF Ready 2 0 1 1 -3 1
70 Gamle Oslo 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Odd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Harstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Fløya 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Volda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Hønefoss 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Oppsal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Melbo IL 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Kvik Trondheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Byåsen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Sverresborg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Våg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Frigg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 NHHI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Sandnes ULF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Vard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Ullern 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Vindbjart 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Union Carl Berner 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Ulfstind 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 SF Grei 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Mosjøen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Varhaug 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Bjørkelangen 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Skjetten 1 0 0 1 -5 0
115 Skedsmo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
116 Konnerud 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Teie 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Eiger 1 0 0 1 -6 0
119 Varegg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Hana 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Elnesvågen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
122 Verdal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
123 Innstranden 1 0 0 1 -8 0
124 Rindal 1 0 0 1 -10 0
125 Hamna 1 0 0 1 -10 0
126 Bjørnevatn 1 0 0 1 -11 0
127 Nord 1 0 0 1 -11 0
128 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strommen Mjondalen
21′
🟨 K. Bata
0–1 E. Midtgarden
own goal
33′
45′
A. Conteh 0–2
Half-time 0–2
C. Crestani 🟨
48′
E. Asvestad 🟨
62′
73′
A. Conteh 0–3
80′
🟨 L. Neto
90′
A. Conteh 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Strommen

1 Vits Senne
98 Lillo Thomas
2 Rindal Sindre
19 Rogne Even
4 Balatoni Maximilian
8 Asvestad Eirik
21 Jansson Oscar
20 Solli Martin
6 Solberg Nikolai
9 Hristov Nikolay
14 Kristengard Julian
Bench (8)
30 Kollstrom Marius
24 Paulsen Marcus
23 Lien Fredrik
33 Nilsen Sverre
3 Crestani Cameron
16 Nord Anders
17 Volden Mads
11 Sundberg Mathias

Coach: Ø. Heiberg

Mjondalen

87 Oy Leander
5 Midtgarden Erik
2 Vik Isak
4 Mrakovic Tarik
15 Kvam Fabian
6 Skau Jesper
7 Reutersward Love
21 Bratvold Sander
28 Sawaneh Ebrima
10 Neto Leandro
20 Conteh Alie
Bench (8)
14 Midtgard Oliver
11 Bruusgaard Jonas
37 Singh Brinder
18 Arsbog Nickolay
17 Bata Karim
13 Bro Philip Sorlie
34 Ween Linus
24 Dahl Birk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mischa Huru Kellerhals · 15 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.