Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 2 |
Brann
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 3 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Øygarden
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Sandefjord
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Kristiansund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 7 |
Ull/Kisa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |
Ullern
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Brumunddal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Molde
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Alta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Os
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Arendal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Kvik Halden
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Levanger
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Harstad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Eidsvold
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fredrikstad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 20 |
Frigg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 21 |
Træff
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 22 |
Vard
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 23 |
Junkeren
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 24 |
Mjølner
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 25 |
Gjøvik-Lyn
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 26 |
Raufoss
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 27 |
Asane
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Pors Grenland
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Bærum
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Trygg/Lade
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Senja
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Lokomotiv Oslo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Råde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Nordstrand
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Finnsnes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 |
Strommen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 37 |
Herd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 38 |
Bossekop
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 39 |
Orkla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 40 |
Bremnes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 41 |
Halsen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 42 |
Surnadal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 43 |
Skjetten
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 44 |
Asker
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 45 |
Eidsvold IF
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 46 |
Voss
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
No matches played yet.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.