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Allsvenskan
Referee: Erik Mattsson
Oster
U S U T T
0–2
Full-time
Malmo FF
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oster Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
27%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,90 xG 1,56
36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oster 15. · Malmo FF 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 16 11 4 1 +18 +2.2 37
2 Hammarby 16 10 3 3 +16 +10.5 33
3 AIK 16 9 5 2 +10 +3.6 32
4 Elfsborg 15 9 2 4 +9 +4.4 29
5 Malmo FF 16 7 6 3 +11 +10.4 27
6 GAIS 15 6 7 2 +8 +6.0 25
7 Goteborg 15 7 1 7 -2 +0.3 22
8 Hacken 15 6 3 6 -1 +2.2 21
9 Brommapojkarna 15 6 1 8 +0 +1.5 19
10 Djurgarden 15 5 4 6 -3 +1.7 19
11 Halmstad 15 5 1 9 -17 -9.4 16
12 Norrkoping 15 4 3 8 -6 -9.7 15
13 Sirius 15 3 4 8 -6 -4.2 13
14 Degerfors 15 4 1 10 -15 -3.0 13
15 Oster 15 3 3 9 -9 -9.4 12
16 Varnamo 15 1 4 10 -13 -7.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oster Malmo FF
24′
O. Rosengren 0–1
D. T. Gudjohnsen
38′
🟨 Otto Rosengren
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Ali
↦ D. T. Gudjohnsen
R. Adjei 🔁
↦ T. Varmanen
60′
60′
🔁 N. Zatterstrom
↦ A. Djuric
61′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ K. Busuladzic
67′
S. Haksabanovic 0–2
O. Rosengren
J. Voelkerling Persson 🔁
↦ O. Uddenas
75′
77′
🔁 A. Sigurdsson
↦ S. Haksabanovic
88′
🔁 E. Ekong
↦ H. Bolin
M. Tamminen 🔁
↦ P. Sejdiu
95′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Oster

4-1-4-1
13 R. Wallinder G
33 T. Varmanen D
5 M. Adolfsson D
15 I. Kricak D
21 L. Bergquist D
26 M. Christensen M
24 P. Sejdiu M
6 N. Soderberg M
18 D. Ljung M
10 O. Uddenas M
20 A. Aliev
Bench (9)
32 C. Lundahl
4 S. Starke
8 D. Ask
9 N. Soderberg
14 D. Olsson
16 R. Adjei
19 M. Tamminen
23 V. Rodic
34 J. Voelkerling Persson

Coach: Carl Roberth Björknesjö

Malmo FF

3-4-1-2
30 R. Olsen G
19 C. Rosler D
18 P. Jansson D
5 A. Djuric D
37 A. Skogmar M
40 K. Busuladzic M
7 O. Rosengren M
25 Busanello M
38 H. Bolin F
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen F
29 S. Haksabanovic F
Bench (9)
33 M. Ellborg
6 O. Lewicki
8 A. Sigurdsson
9 I. Kiese
11 E. Ekong
16 O. Berg
22 T. Ali
34 Z. Loukili
35 N. Zatterstrom

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Erik Mattsson · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.