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Allsvenskan
Malmo FF
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Falkenbergs
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Falkenbergs
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
63%
13%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Falkenbergs 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 16 10 5 1 +18 35
2 Elfsborg 16 8 7 1 +7 31
3 Djurgarden 17 9 3 5 +10 30
4 Norrkoping 16 8 4 4 +12 28
5 Sirius 17 7 7 3 +5 28
6 Hacken 16 7 6 3 +12 27
7 Hammarby 17 6 6 5 -2 24
8 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 -5 20
9 Ostersunds 16 4 6 6 -4 18
10 Varberg 16 4 5 7 -2 17
11 Orebro 16 4 5 7 -6 17
12 Goteborg 17 2 10 5 -7 16
13 AIK 16 3 5 8 -10 14
14 Falkenbergs 16 2 7 7 -8 13
15 Kalmar 16 3 4 9 -8 13
16 Helsingborg 16 2 7 7 -12 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.