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Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

S U U S S

4–2

Full-time

Falkenbergs

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Falkenbergs

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

50%

14%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 2. · Falkenbergs 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	15	10	4	1	+18	34
2	Elfsborg	14	7	6	1	+5	27
3	Djurgarden	15	8	2	5	+7	26
4	Norrkoping	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Hacken	14	5	6	3	+9	21
6	Hammarby	14	5	5	4	-1	20
7	Sirius	14	4	7	3	+0	19
8	Mjallby	15	5	4	6	-5	19
9	Varberg	14	4	5	5	+1	17
10	Orebro	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Goteborg	14	2	8	4	-5	14
12	AIK	14	3	4	7	-9	13
13	Helsingborg	14	2	7	5	-9	13
14	Kalmar	14	3	3	8	-6	12
15	Falkenbergs	14	2	6	6	-6	12
16	Ostersunds	14	2	6	6	-7	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Hacken	8	5	2	1	+13	17
3	Norrkoping	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Djurgarden	8	4	2	2	+7	14
5	Hammarby	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Varberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Mjallby	7	3	2	2	-1	11
8	Elfsborg	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Orebro	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Helsingborg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Sirius	7	2	3	2	-2	9
12	Goteborg	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Kalmar	7	1	2	4	-2	5
14	AIK	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Falkenbergs	7	0	3	4	-5	3
16	Ostersunds	7	0	2	5	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	8	5	2	1	+3	17
2	Malmo FF	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Djurgarden	7	4	0	3	+0	12
4	Sirius	7	2	4	1	+2	10
5	Ostersunds	7	2	4	1	+0	10
6	Falkenbergs	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	+1	8
8	Orebro	8	2	2	4	-3	8
9	Mjallby	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Hammarby	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	AIK	8	2	2	4	-5	8
12	Goteborg	6	1	4	1	-1	7
13	Kalmar	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Varberg	7	1	3	3	-1	6
15	Hacken	6	0	4	2	-4	4
16	Helsingborg	7	0	4	3	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.