Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Djurgarden
Ostersunds
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malmo FF
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 |
Goteborg
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
AIK
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |
Hacken
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |
Djurgarden
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |
Hammarby
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |
Elfsborg
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Norrkoping
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Ostersunds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Kalmar
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Orebro | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 |
Sirius
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |
Helsingborg
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |
Sundsvall
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Falkenbergs | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Djurgarden
Elfsborg
Djurgarden
Djurgarden
AIK
Helsingborg
Djurgarden
Hammarby
Djurgarden
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.