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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Sp Gijon
S U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Ibiza
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ibiza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 12. · Ibiza 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 6 4 2 0 +4 14
2 Las Palmas 6 3 3 0 +7 12
3 Granada 6 4 0 2 +3 12
4 Cartagena 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Eibar 6 3 1 2 +3 10
6 Burgos 6 2 4 0 +2 10
7 Villarreal B 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Albacete 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Andorra 6 3 1 2 -1 10
10 Levante 6 2 3 1 +4 9
11 Ponferradina 6 3 0 3 -1 9
12 Sp Gijon 6 2 2 2 +2 8
13 Zaragoza 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
15 Huesca 6 2 1 3 +1 7
16 Tenerife 6 2 1 3 -1 7
17 Lugo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
18 Ibiza 6 2 1 3 -4 7
19 Leganes 6 1 1 4 -3 4
20 Santander 6 1 1 4 -4 4
21 Malaga 6 1 0 5 -7 3
22 Mirandes 6 0 2 4 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Ibiza
Uroš Milovanović 🟨
-5′
1–0 Pablo Ínsua
C. Izquierdoz
5′
39′
Ekain Zenitagoia 1–1
K. Appin
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Ekain Zenitagoia
59′
🟨 Gonzalo Escobar
2–1 J. Otero
G. Zarfino
60′
Nacho Méndez 🔁
↦ Dani Queipo
61′
64′
🔁 Nolito
↦ Suleiman Camara
68′
🟨 Cristian Herrera
Pol Valentín 🔁
↦ Aitor García
75′
75′
🔁 Darío Poveda
↦ Cristian Herrera
Juan Otero 🟨
81′
Jony 🔁
↦ Cristo González
85′
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ J. Otero
85′
Víctor Campuzano 🔁
↦ Guille Rosas
85′
87′
🔁 Miki Villar
↦ Fran Grimà
87′
🔁 Javi Vázquez
↦ M. Azeez
93′
ℹ️ David Goldar
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
13 Diego Mariño G
2 Guille Rosas D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
32 Diego Sánchez D
18 G. Zarfino M
8 Pedro Díaz M
7 Aitor García M
19 J. Otero M
30 Dani Queipo M
12 Cristo González F
Bench (8)
10 Nacho Méndez
22 Pol Valentín
9 Jony
15 A. Bamba
11 Víctor Campuzano
20 J. Carrillo
21 U. Milovanović
1 Iván Cuéllar

Coach: Abelardo

Ibiza

4-1-4-1
13 Daniel Fuzato G
2 Fran Grimà D
4 David Goldar D
3 Martín Pascual D
24 G. Escobar D
14 Iván Morante M
7 Cristian Herrera M
16 M. Azeez M
20 K. Appin M
28 Suleiman Camara M
10 Ekain Zenitagoia F
Bench (10)
9 Nolito
19 Darío Poveda
22 Miki Villar
12 Javi Vázquez
26 Jorge Chanza
27 Álvaro García
6 Alejandro Gálvez
21 Zé Carlos
1 Germán Parreño
23 Coke

Coach: Javier Baraja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,30
B
4,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.