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Championship
Referee: R Jones
Blackburn
T T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Swansea
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Championship · 34/30 matches
Win Ø 46%
35%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 15. · Swansea 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 35 23 7 5 +26 76
2 Watford 35 19 9 7 +22 66
3 Reading 35 18 6 11 +12 60
4 Brentford 32 17 8 7 +24 59
5 Swansea 30 17 7 6 +15 58
6 Barnsley 32 17 6 9 +9 57
7 Bournemouth 34 15 11 8 +17 56
8 Cardiff 35 15 9 11 +18 54
9 Middlesbrough 35 14 8 13 +3 50
10 Stoke 35 12 12 11 +2 48
11 Millwall 35 10 16 9 +1 46
12 Bristol City 35 14 3 18 -12 45
13 Preston 35 13 5 17 -6 44
14 Luton 34 12 8 14 -12 44
15 Blackburn 34 12 7 15 +9 43
16 QPR 33 11 10 12 -5 43
17 Nott'm Forest 35 10 10 15 -6 40
18 Huddersfield 35 10 8 17 -12 38
19 Derby 34 10 8 16 -13 38
20 Coventry 35 9 11 15 -14 38
21 Birmingham 35 8 11 16 -17 35
22 Sheffield Weds 34 9 7 18 -19 34
23 Rotherham 32 9 5 18 -8 32
24 Wycombe 34 5 8 21 -34 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Swansea
1–0 B. Dack
T. Trybull
37′
41′
A. Ayew 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Latibeaudiere
↦ M. Guehi
Joe Rankin-Costello 🟨
53′
65′
🔁 Y. Dhanda
↦ J. Fulton
65′
🔁 K. Smith
↦ C. Hourihane
68′
🟨 Ben Cabango
H. Elliott 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
70′
R. Nyambe 🔁
↦ J. Rankin-Costello
76′
81′
🔁 W. Routledge
↦ J. Lowe
J. Rothwell 🔁
↦ B. Dack
86′
L. Travis 🔁
↦ T. Trybull
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
26 D. Lenihan D
22 T. Harwood-Bellis D
19 T. Trybull M
23 B. Dack M
21 J. Buckley M
24 J. Rankin-Costello D
39 T. Dolan F
9 S. Gallagher F
20 B. Brereton F
Bench (9)
16 H. Elliott
2 R. Nyambe
8 J. Rothwell
27 L. Travis
4 B. Johnson
6 S. Downing
29 C. Evans
13 A. Pears
17 A. Bell

Coach: T. Mowbray

Swansea

3-4-1-2
1 F. Woodman G
26 K. Naughton D
24 J. Bidwell M
23 C. Roberts M
5 M. Guehi D
44 B. Cabango D
14 C. Hourihane F
6 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
10 A. Ayew F
9 J. Lowe F
Bench (9)
22 J. Latibeaudiere
21 Y. Dhanda
7 K. Smith
15 W. Routledge
2 R. Bennett
3 R. Manning
18 B. Hamer
17 M. Whittaker
31 O. Cooper

Coach: S. Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U ✓
3,15
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.