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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Andre Cardoso Antunes

Rio Ave

S U U S S

1–3

Full-time

Estoril

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 38%

42%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

58%

33%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

46%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 1

6 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rio Ave 6. · Estoril 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	25	20	1	4	+49	61
2	Sp Lisbon	25	18	5	2	+34	59
3	Porto	25	17	4	4	+28	55
4	Sp Braga	25	13	8	4	+25	47
5	Arouca	25	9	11	5	+7	38
6	Rio Ave	24	10	6	8	+1	36
7	Guimaraes	25	8	10	7	-3	34
8	Pacos Ferreira	25	8	8	9	-1	32
9	Estoril	24	8	6	10	-4	30
10	Maritimo	25	8	5	12	-12	29
11	Belenenses	25	7	8	10	-21	29
12	Nacional	25	7	7	11	-8	28
13	Vitoria Setubal	25	6	10	9	-10	28
14	Moreirense	25	7	5	13	-13	26
15	U. Madeira	25	6	7	12	-16	25
16	Academica	25	5	7	13	-18	22
17	Boavista	25	5	6	14	-16	21
18	Tondela	25	3	4	18	-22	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	10	0	2	+27	30
2	Sp Lisbon	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Porto	12	9	2	1	+16	29
4	Sp Braga	12	8	3	1	+22	27
5	Rio Ave	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Estoril	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	U. Madeira	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Arouca	12	5	4	3	+5	19
9	Academica	13	5	4	4	-3	19
10	Pacos Ferreira	13	5	3	5	+3	18
11	Nacional	12	5	3	4	+1	18
12	Maritimo	12	5	2	5	+3	17
13	Guimaraes	13	4	5	4	+2	17
14	Belenenses	12	4	4	4	-6	16
15	Vitoria Setubal	13	2	8	3	-7	14
16	Boavista	13	2	4	7	-8	10
17	Moreirense	12	2	3	7	-8	9
18	Tondela	13	1	2	10	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	10	1	2	+22	31
2	Sp Lisbon	12	9	2	1	+20	29
3	Porto	13	8	2	3	+12	26
4	Sp Braga	13	5	5	3	+3	20
5	Arouca	13	4	7	2	+2	19
6	Guimaraes	12	4	5	3	-5	17
7	Moreirense	13	5	2	6	-5	17
8	Rio Ave	12	3	5	4	-3	14
9	Vitoria Setubal	12	4	2	6	-3	14
10	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	5	4	-4	14
11	Belenenses	13	3	4	6	-15	13
12	Maritimo	13	3	3	7	-15	12
13	Boavista	12	3	2	7	-8	11
14	Nacional	13	2	4	7	-9	10
15	Estoril	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Tondela	12	2	2	8	-8	8
17	U. Madeira	12	1	2	9	-18	5
18	Academica	12	0	3	9	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.