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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva
Boavista
U S T
0–1
Full-time
Pacos Ferreira
S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 14. · Pacos Ferreira 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Benfica 4 3 0 1 +10 9
4 Arouca 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 +3 6
6 Nacional 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Estoril 4 2 0 2 -3 6
8 Maritimo 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Pacos Ferreira 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Rio Ave 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 U. Madeira 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 Boavista 3 1 1 1 -3 4
15 Tondela 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 Belenenses 4 0 3 1 -6 3
17 Moreirense 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Academica 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Pacos Ferreira
Nuno Henrique 🟨
15′
45′
🟨 Fabio Cardoso
Half-time 0–0
Samuel Inkoom 🟨
52′
Samuel Inkoom 🟨
53′
Samuel Inkoom 🟥
53′
55′
🟨 André Leal
Tengarrinha 🔁
↦ Diego Lima
55′
57′
🔁 Fábio Martins
↦ Andrézinho
66′
🔁 Minhoca
↦ Paraiba
68′
🟨 Fabio Martins
73′
🟨 Ricardo
82′
🟨 Pelé
Anderson Correia 🔁
↦ M. Uchebo
82′
84′
🔁 B. Osei
↦ Pelé
89′
⚽ Diogo Jota 0–1
Anderson Correia 🟨
90′
C. Pouga 🔁
↦ Paulo Vinicius
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Boavista

1 Mika G
5 Paulo Vinicius D
23 Nuno Henrique D
2 S. Inkoom D
25 Afonso Figueiredo D
10 Diego Lima M
4 R. Gabriel M
42 I. Mandiang M
70 Zé Manuel M
75 M. Uchebo
77 Luisinho
Bench (7)
8 Tengarrinha
6 Anderson Correia
11 C. Pouga
99 Rivaldinho
94 Philipe Sampaio
17 Renato Santos
12 Gideão

Pacos Ferreira

28 Marafona
19 Ricardo D
13 João Góis D
6 Fábio Cardoso D
22 Miguel Vieira D
25 Pelé M
8 Christian M
18 Diogo Jota F
20 Andrézinho M
21 João Silva F
12 Paraiba M
Bench (7)
47 Fábio Martins
10 Minhoca
16 B. Osei
4 Romeu
94 Bruno Santos
1 Rafael Defendi
23 Paulo Henrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Manuel Mota da Silva · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.