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Serie A

Referee: Angelo Cervellera

Sampdoria

S U

2–0

Full-time

Bologna

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,5

2,0

Scored

3,5

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,5

2,0

Scored

3,5

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sampdoria 9. · Bologna 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Torino	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Roma	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Lazio	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Genoa	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Napoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Verona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Juventus	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Carpi	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Torino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Carpi	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Napoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Carpi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Milan	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.