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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arbroath Inverness CT
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,0
1,3
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,0
1,3
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 37 26 8 3 +47 86
3 Hearts 37 17 10 10 +12 61
4 Livingston 37 12 10 15 -6 46
5 Motherwell 37 12 10 15 -13 46
6 Dundee United 37 11 12 14 -8 45
7 St Mirren 37 10 13 14 -18 43
8 Hibernian 37 10 12 15 -8 42
9 Ross County 37 10 11 16 -13 41
10 Aberdeen 37 10 10 17 -5 40
11 ST Johnstone 37 8 11 18 -23 35
12 Dundee 37 6 11 20 -29 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arbroath Inverness CT
27′
🟨 David Carson
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ A. Samuels
Colin Hamilton 🟨
55′
60′
🔁 J. Hardy
↦ A. Doran
66′
🟥 Daniel Devine
68′
🔁 C. Harper
↦ L. Chalmers
Chris Hamilton 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 W. Duffy
↦ R. McAlear
B. Linn 🔁
↦ J. Craigen
76′
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ J. Thomson
90′
90′
🔁 L. Hyde
↦ S. Sutherland
95′
🟨 Wallace Duffy
L. Henderson 🔁
↦ T. OBrien
105′
D. Gold 🔁
↦ Chris Hamilton
105′
C. Wighton 🔁
↦ J. Hamilton
111′
113′
🟨 Wallace Duffy
113′
🟥 Wallace Duffy
115′
🟨 Billy McKay
118′
🟨 Lewis Hyde
Craig Wighton 🟨
120′
120′
🟨 Robbie Deas
121′
B. McKay 0–1
1–1 M. McKenna
122′
123′
J. Hardy 1–2
2–2 N. Low
124′
125′
S. Welsh 2–3
3–3 Colin Hamilton
126′
127′
C. Harper 3–4
B. Linn
penalty missed
128′
129′
K. Broadfoot 3–5
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Arbroath

4-1-4-1
1 D. Gaston G
2 J. Thomson D
4 R. Little D
5 T. O'Brien D
3 Colin Hamilton D
18 Chris Hamilton D
6 N. Low M
28 J. Craigen F
8 M. McKenna M
12 S. Stewart M
20 J. Hamilton F
Bench (9)
11 B. Linn
15 L. Donnelly
22 L. Henderson
7 D. Gold
19 C. Wighton
10 G. Swankie
17 M. Bakare
21 C. Antell
16 S. Ford

Coach: D. Campbell

Inverness CT

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ridgers G
15 K. Broadfoot D
6 D. Devine D
5 R. Deas D
4 S. Welsh M
23 R. McAlear M
8 D. Carson M
10 A. Doran M
11 S. Sutherland F
24 A. Samuels F
17 L. Chalmers M
Bench (7)
9 B. McKay
20 J. Hardy
3 C. Harper
2 W. Duffy
28 L. Hyde
18 S. Allardice
21 C. Mackay

Coach: B. Dodds

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.