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Serie A

Referee: Francesco Fourneau

Fiorentina

U U T U T

0–1

Full-time

Sassuolo

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

42%

52%

Both score Ø 60%

61%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 8

2 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 10. · Sassuolo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	34	28	4	2	+44	88
2	Napoli	34	21	7	6	+34	70
3	Inter	34	18	8	8	+24	62
4	Atalanta	34	17	8	9	+26	59
5	Roma	34	16	10	8	+15	58
6	Torino	34	14	14	6	+15	56
7	Milan	34	15	11	8	+14	56
8	Lazio	34	16	7	11	+13	55
9	Sampdoria	34	14	6	14	+8	48
10	Fiorentina	33	8	16	9	+6	40
11	Cagliari	34	10	10	14	-15	40
12	Spal	34	10	9	15	-13	39
13	Sassuolo	33	8	14	11	-5	38
14	Bologna	34	9	10	15	-11	37
15	Parma	34	9	10	15	-17	37
16	Genoa	34	8	11	15	-17	35
17	Udinese	34	8	9	17	-18	33
18	Empoli	34	7	8	19	-23	29
19	Frosinone	34	5	8	21	-36	23
20	Chievo	34	2	12	20	-44	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	15	2	0	+26	47
2	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+21	37
3	Roma	17	10	5	2	+14	35
4	Milan	17	10	4	3	+11	34
5	Inter	17	9	5	3	+14	32
6	Torino	17	10	2	5	+10	32
7	Lazio	17	9	4	4	+13	31
8	Cagliari	17	8	6	3	+5	30
9	Atalanta	17	8	5	4	+14	29
10	Sampdoria	17	9	2	6	+11	29
11	Bologna	17	7	4	6	+2	25
12	Udinese	17	7	4	6	-1	25
13	Empoli	17	7	3	7	-1	24
14	Genoa	17	6	6	5	-1	24
15	Fiorentina	16	5	8	3	+8	23
16	Sassuolo	17	5	8	4	+0	23
17	Spal	17	5	7	5	-4	22
18	Parma	17	4	6	7	-8	18
19	Chievo	17	1	6	10	-19	9
20	Frosinone	17	1	5	11	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	13	2	2	+18	41
2	Napoli	17	10	3	4	+13	33
3	Atalanta	17	9	3	5	+12	30
4	Inter	17	9	3	5	+10	30
5	Torino	17	4	12	1	+5	24
6	Lazio	17	7	3	7	+0	24
7	Roma	17	6	5	6	+1	23
8	Milan	17	5	7	5	+3	22
9	Sampdoria	17	5	4	8	-3	19
10	Parma	17	5	4	8	-9	19
11	Fiorentina	17	3	8	6	-2	17
12	Spal	17	5	2	10	-9	17
13	Sassuolo	16	3	6	7	-5	15
14	Frosinone	17	4	3	10	-14	15
15	Bologna	17	2	6	9	-13	12
16	Genoa	17	2	5	10	-16	11
17	Cagliari	17	2	4	11	-20	10
18	Chievo	17	1	6	10	-25	9
19	Udinese	17	1	5	11	-17	8
20	Empoli	17	0	5	12	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.