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Championship

Referee: Andy Madley

Newcastle

S S T U T

4–1

Full-time

Preston

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Preston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Championship · 43/43 matches

Win Ø 49%

60%

37%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

53%

56%

Both score Ø 54%

49%

58%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%

22 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

16 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Newcastle 2. · Preston 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	44	28	8	8	+35	92
2	Newcastle	43	26	7	10	+37	85
3	Reading	41	23	7	11	+6	76
4	Huddersfield	40	23	6	11	+4	75
5	Fulham	42	20	13	9	+23	73
6	Leeds	44	22	7	15	+14	73
7	Sheffield Weds	42	21	9	12	+12	72
8	Norwich	44	19	9	16	+12	66
9	Brentford	44	18	9	17	+12	63
10	Derby	44	17	12	15	+2	63
11	Preston	43	16	13	14	+5	61
12	Aston Villa	44	16	13	15	+0	61
13	Cardiff	44	16	11	17	-2	59
14	Barnsley	44	15	12	17	+0	57
15	Wolves	43	15	10	18	-2	55
16	Ipswich	44	13	16	15	-6	55
17	Bristol City	44	14	9	21	-6	51
18	Burton Albion	44	13	12	19	-12	51
19	QPR	44	14	8	22	-12	50
20	Nott'm Forest	44	13	9	22	-11	48
21	Birmingham	44	11	14	19	-22	47
22	Blackburn	44	10	15	19	-15	45
23	Wigan	44	10	11	23	-16	41
24	Rotherham	44	5	6	33	-58	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	22	17	3	2	+33	54
2	Reading	21	14	5	2	+17	47
3	Norwich	22	14	4	4	+29	46
4	Leeds	22	14	3	5	+16	45
5	Sheffield Weds	21	14	2	5	+13	44
6	Huddersfield	20	14	2	4	+11	44
7	Aston Villa	22	12	7	3	+13	43
8	Newcastle	21	13	3	5	+20	42
9	Brentford	22	11	5	6	+19	38
10	Preston	22	11	5	6	+14	38
11	Derby	22	10	8	4	+11	38
12	Nott'm Forest	22	11	4	7	+9	37
13	Bristol City	22	11	4	7	+8	37
14	Cardiff	22	11	4	7	+7	37
15	Fulham	21	9	7	5	+8	34
16	Ipswich	22	8	10	4	+7	34
17	Burton Albion	22	9	4	9	+0	31
18	Blackburn	22	7	8	7	-2	29
19	Barnsley	22	6	10	6	-1	28
20	QPR	22	8	4	10	-4	28
21	Birmingham	22	7	5	10	-8	26
22	Wolves	21	7	4	10	-5	25
23	Wigan	22	5	7	10	-7	22
24	Rotherham	22	5	5	12	-11	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	22	13	4	5	+17	43
2	Fulham	21	11	6	4	+15	39
3	Brighton	22	11	5	6	+2	38
4	Huddersfield	20	9	4	7	-7	31
5	Wolves	22	8	6	8	+3	30
6	Barnsley	22	9	2	11	+1	29
7	Reading	20	9	2	9	-11	29
8	Sheffield Weds	21	7	7	7	-1	28
9	Leeds	22	8	4	10	-2	28
10	Brentford	22	7	4	11	-7	25
11	Derby	22	7	4	11	-9	25
12	Preston	21	5	8	8	-9	23
13	QPR	22	6	4	12	-8	22
14	Cardiff	22	5	7	10	-9	22
15	Ipswich	22	5	6	11	-13	21
16	Birmingham	22	4	9	9	-14	21
17	Burton Albion	22	4	8	10	-12	20
18	Norwich	22	5	5	12	-17	20
19	Wigan	22	5	4	13	-9	19
20	Aston Villa	22	4	6	12	-13	18
21	Blackburn	22	3	7	12	-13	16
22	Bristol City	22	3	5	14	-14	14
23	Nott'm Forest	22	2	5	15	-20	11
24	Rotherham	22	0	1	21	-47	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.