← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: Neil Swarbrick
Burton Albion
T T
3–1
Full-time
Sheffield Weds
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Burton Albion Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
5,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
3,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
0,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
17 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burton Albion 20. · Sheffield Weds 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 QPR 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Bristol City 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Fulham 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Norwich 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Brighton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Wolves 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Wigan 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Brentford 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Barnsley 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Reading 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Nott'm Forest 2 1 0 1 -2 3
17 Derby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Rotherham 2 0 1 1 -3 1
20 Burton Albion 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 -2 0
22 Preston 2 0 0 2 -2 0
23 Leeds 2 0 0 2 -4 0
24 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burton Albion Sheffield Weds
7′
🟨 Jack Hunt
1–0 K. McFadzean ⚽
M. Palmer
7′
12′
⚽ G. Hooper 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 F. Forestieri
↦ A. Abdi
47′
🔁 L. Palmer
↦ Semedo
2–1 J. Irvine ⚽
J. Mousinho
47′
58′
🔁 A. Nuhiu
↦ G. Hooper
T. Flanagan 🔁
↦ S. Beavon
75′
3–1 L. Dyer ⚽
77′
H. Choudhury 🔁
↦ M. Palmer
83′
Ben Turner 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Burton Albion

3-5-2
1 J. McLaughlin G
6 B. Turner D
5 K. McFadzean D
4 J. Mousinho D
11 L. Dyer M
15 T. Naylor D
36 J. Irvine M
16 M. Palmer M
9 S. Beavon F
10 L. Akins F
8 C. O'Grady F
Bench (7)
2 T. Flanagan
19 H. Choudhury
7 L. Williamson
12 C. Butcher
13 S. Bywater
14 D. McCrory
22 M. Harness

Coach: N. Clough

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
1 K. Westwood G
36 D. Pudil D
32 J. Hunt D
23 S. Hutchinson M
33 R. Wallace M
24 Semedo M
5 K. Lee M
7 A. Abdi M
41 B. Bannan M
6 S. Fletcher F
14 G. Hooper F
Bench (7)
16 L. Palmer
45 F. Forestieri
44 A. Nuhiu
2 J. Wildsmith
19 Lucas João
38 W. Buckley
42 M. Vermijl

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Neil Swarbrick · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.