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Championship

Referee: Craig Pawson

Leeds

T T S U T

0–0

Full-time

Middlesbrough

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,5

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Championship · 30/29 matches

Win Ø 43%

27%

59%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

33%

31%

Both score Ø 39%

53%

24%

Average goals

2,1

1,9

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Leeds 16. · Middlesbrough 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	29	18	5	6	+30	59
2	Middlesbrough	29	17	6	6	+23	57
3	Burnley	31	15	11	5	+22	56
4	Brighton	29	15	10	4	+10	55
5	Sheffield Weds	30	14	10	6	+16	52
6	Derby	30	12	12	6	+11	48
7	Birmingham	31	13	9	9	+8	48
8	Ipswich	31	13	9	9	+1	48
9	Cardiff	31	11	13	7	+5	46
10	Nott'm Forest	31	10	12	9	+4	42
11	Preston	31	10	12	9	+0	42
12	Wolves	31	10	10	11	-2	40
13	Brentford	31	11	7	13	-6	40
14	QPR	31	9	12	10	-1	39
15	Reading	31	9	10	12	+0	37
16	Leeds	30	8	12	10	-5	36
17	Huddersfield	31	9	8	14	-2	35
18	Fulham	30	7	11	12	-3	32
19	Blackburn	29	6	13	10	-2	31
20	Milton Keynes Dons	31	8	7	16	-17	31
21	Bristol City	31	7	10	14	-21	31
22	Rotherham	31	7	5	19	-19	26
23	Charlton	31	5	10	16	-30	25
24	Bolton	31	4	12	15	-22	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	13	11	2	0	+26	35
2	Brighton	16	11	2	3	+8	35
3	Sheffield Weds	15	10	4	1	+19	34
4	Burnley	15	10	3	2	+18	33
5	Middlesbrough	15	10	3	2	+17	33
6	Cardiff	15	7	7	1	+8	28
7	Derby	16	7	6	3	+11	27
8	Reading	16	6	7	3	+7	25
9	Nott'm Forest	16	6	6	4	+6	24
10	Ipswich	15	6	6	3	+4	24
11	QPR	16	5	8	3	+4	23
12	Birmingham	15	7	2	6	+1	23
13	Preston	15	5	6	4	+0	21
14	Brentford	15	6	3	6	-2	21
15	Bolton	15	4	8	3	+1	20
16	Milton Keynes Dons	15	6	2	7	-6	20
17	Huddersfield	15	5	4	6	+5	19
18	Wolves	16	4	6	6	-3	18
19	Rotherham	16	5	3	8	-5	18
20	Bristol City	16	4	6	6	-6	18
21	Fulham	15	4	5	6	+0	17
22	Leeds	15	4	5	6	-4	17
23	Blackburn	14	3	7	4	+1	16
24	Charlton	16	3	7	6	-8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	16	6	7	3	+7	25
2	Middlesbrough	14	7	3	4	+6	24
3	Hull	16	7	3	6	+4	24
4	Ipswich	16	7	3	6	-3	24
5	Burnley	16	5	8	3	+4	23
6	Wolves	15	6	4	5	+1	22
7	Preston	16	5	6	5	+0	21
8	Derby	14	5	6	3	+0	21
9	Brighton	13	4	8	1	+2	20
10	Leeds	15	4	7	4	-1	19
11	Brentford	16	5	4	7	-4	19
12	Nott'm Forest	15	4	6	5	-2	18
13	Sheffield Weds	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Cardiff	16	4	6	6	-3	18
15	QPR	15	4	4	7	-5	16
16	Huddersfield	16	4	4	8	-7	16
17	Fulham	15	3	6	6	-3	15
18	Blackburn	15	3	6	6	-3	15
19	Bristol City	15	3	4	8	-15	13
20	Reading	15	3	3	9	-7	12
21	Milton Keynes Dons	16	2	5	9	-11	11
22	Charlton	15	2	3	10	-22	9
23	Rotherham	15	2	2	11	-14	8
24	Bolton	16	0	4	12	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.