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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Brighton
S T T U S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
36%
21%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 11. · Crystal Palace 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 14 12 2 0 +37 38
2 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 +22 36
3 Chelsea 14 9 4 1 +19 31
4 Arsenal 14 9 3 2 +14 30
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 +10 30
6 Everton 14 6 4 4 +4 22
7 Man United 14 6 4 4 -1 22
8 Leicester 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Bournemouth 14 6 2 6 +2 20
10 Watford 14 6 2 6 -2 20
11 Brighton 14 5 3 6 -4 18
12 Wolves 14 4 4 6 -4 16
13 West Ham 14 4 3 7 -5 15
14 Crystal Palace 14 3 3 8 -7 12
15 Newcastle 14 3 3 8 -8 12
16 Cardiff 14 3 2 9 -14 11
17 Huddersfield 14 2 4 8 -15 10
18 Southampton 14 1 6 7 -14 9
19 Burnley 14 2 3 9 -16 9
20 Fulham 14 2 2 10 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Crystal Palace
1–0 G. Murray
24′
Shane Duffy 🟥
28′
L. Balogun 🔁
↦ P. Groß
31′
2–0 L. Balogun
31′
F. Andone 🔁
↦ G. Murray
35′
37′
🟨 James Tomkins
Half-time 3–0
3–0 F. Andone
49′
A. Knockaert 🔁
↦ J. Izquierdo
49′
58′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ C. Kouyaté
67′
🟨 Wilfried Zaha
73′
🔁 J. Schlupp
↦ J. McArthur
Bernardo 🟨
77′
Yves Bissouma 🟨
80′
81′
L. Milivojević 3–1
82′
🟨 Luka Milivojević
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Brighton

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
4 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
22 Martín Montoya D
30 Bernardo D
13 P. Groß M
24 D. Pröpper M
20 S. March F
8 Y. Bissouma M
17 G. Murray F
19 J. Izquierdo F
Bench (7)
14 L. Balogun
10 F. Andone
11 A. Knockaert
3 G. Bong
7 B. Kayal
9 J. Locadia
23 J. Steele

Coach: C. Hughton

Crystal Palace

4-4-2
13 W. Hennessey G
12 M. Sakho D
5 J. Tomkins D
3 P. van Aanholt D
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
18 J. McArthur M
8 C. Kouyaté M
10 A. Townsend F
4 L. Milivojević M
7 M. Meyer M
11 W. Zaha F
Bench (7)
9 A. Sørloth
15 J. Schlupp
2 J. Ward
14 J. Ayew
31 Guaita
34 M. Kelly
42 J. Puncheon

Coach: R. Hodgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.