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Premier League

Referee: Andre Marriner

Arsenal

S S T T S

2–0

Full-time

Crystal Palace

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

61%

22%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

61%

Both score Ø 72%

72%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

2,2

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

10 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 5. · Crystal Palace 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	19	16	1	2	+29	49
2	Liverpool	19	13	4	2	+25	43
3	Tottenham	19	11	6	2	+23	39
4	Man City	19	12	3	4	+18	39
5	Arsenal	18	11	4	3	+20	37
6	Man United	19	10	6	3	+10	36
7	Everton	19	7	6	6	+2	27
8	West Brom	19	7	5	7	+2	26
9	Southampton	19	6	6	7	-3	24
10	Bournemouth	19	7	3	9	-5	24
11	Burnley	19	7	2	10	-8	23
12	West Ham	19	6	4	9	-10	22
13	Watford	19	6	4	9	-11	22
14	Stoke	19	5	6	8	-10	21
15	Leicester	19	5	5	9	-7	20
16	Middlesbrough	19	4	6	9	-5	18
17	Crystal Palace	18	4	4	10	-4	16
18	Sunderland	19	4	2	13	-18	14
19	Hull	19	3	4	12	-25	13
20	Swansea	19	3	3	13	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	10	9	0	1	+22	27
2	Liverpool	9	7	2	0	+19	23
3	Tottenham	9	7	2	0	+14	23
4	Burnley	11	7	1	3	+8	22
5	Arsenal	9	6	2	1	+9	20
6	Man United	10	5	4	1	+8	19
7	Man City	9	5	3	1	+8	18
8	Leicester	10	5	3	2	+6	18
9	Everton	9	4	4	1	+5	16
10	Bournemouth	9	5	1	3	+4	16
11	Southampton	10	4	3	3	-1	15
12	West Brom	9	4	2	3	+3	14
13	Watford	10	4	2	4	-2	14
14	West Ham	9	4	2	3	-5	14
15	Stoke	9	3	3	3	-2	12
16	Middlesbrough	9	3	1	5	-1	10
17	Sunderland	9	3	1	5	-4	10
18	Hull	10	2	3	5	-9	9
19	Swansea	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	-1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	9	7	1	1	+7	22
2	Man City	10	7	0	3	+10	21
3	Liverpool	10	6	2	2	+6	20
4	Arsenal	9	5	2	2	+11	17
5	Man United	9	5	2	2	+2	17
6	Tottenham	10	4	4	2	+9	16
7	West Brom	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Everton	10	3	2	5	-3	11
9	Southampton	9	2	3	4	-2	9
10	Crystal Palace	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Stoke	10	2	3	5	-8	9
12	Middlesbrough	10	1	5	4	-4	8
13	West Ham	10	2	2	6	-5	8
14	Bournemouth	10	2	2	6	-9	8
15	Watford	9	2	2	5	-9	8
16	Swansea	9	1	1	7	-14	4
17	Sunderland	10	1	1	8	-14	4
18	Hull	9	1	1	7	-16	4
19	Leicester	9	0	2	7	-13	2
20	Burnley	8	0	1	7	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.