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OBOS-ligaen
Start
T S S S T
3–2
Full-time
Jerv
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
78%
44%
Both score Ø 73%
67%
78%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 3. · Jerv 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 9 7 1 1 +9 22
2 Ranheim 9 6 3 0 +6 21
3 Start 9 6 1 2 +11 19
4 Sandnes ULF 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Ull/Kisa 9 5 1 3 +3 16
6 Mjondalen 9 3 5 1 +7 14
7 Asane 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Levanger 9 2 5 2 +3 11
9 Strommen 9 3 2 4 -5 11
10 Elverum 9 2 4 3 -6 10
11 Tromsdalen Uil 9 2 3 4 -2 9
12 Floro 9 1 4 4 -5 7
13 Arendal 9 2 1 6 -7 7
14 Kongsvinger 9 1 3 5 -5 6
15 Jerv 9 0 6 3 -5 6
16 Fredrikstad 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Jerv
1–0 S. Larsen
13′
2–0 D. Aase
17′
Half-time 2–0
59′
🔁 E. Haugstad
↦ B. Akintola
3–0 E. Børufsen
62′
68′
🔁 C. MacConnacher
↦ E. Danso
73′
🔁 T. Collett
↦ A. Hagen
A. Aliyu 🔁
↦ D. Aase
75′
75′
C. MacConnacher 3–1
85′
E. Haugstad 3–2
T. Christensen 🔁
↦ D. Antwi
86′
R. Vikstøl 🔁
↦ H. Robstad
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Start

1 H. Opdal
3 T. Heikkilä
6 S. Larsen
15 H. Robstad
14 E. Børufsen
17 G. Kristjánsson
7 N. Vorthoren
27 E. Wichne
23 E. Segberg
33 D. Antwi
9 D. Aase
Bench (7)
19 A. Aliyu
20 T. Christensen
28 R. Vikstøl
5 N. Reo-Coker
32 T. Zernichow
45 B. Boujar
21 M. Ugland

Coach: S. Pedersen

Jerv

12 S. Christensen
2 G. Andersen
5 N. Andersen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
10 E. Danso
11 J. Jenssen
23 A. Hagen
7 U. Berglann
69 A. Lind
13 B. Akintola
Bench (7)
9 E. Haugstad
8 C. MacConnacher
18 T. Collett
30 Ø. Knutsen
14 V. Somdal
15 H. Hovstad
20 J. Toft

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.