Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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hodd
Mjondalen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kristiansund
|
22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | +13 | 45 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 39 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +11 | 38 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +13 | 35 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |
Levanger
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 35 |
| 7 |
Strommen
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 34 |
| 8 |
Mjondalen
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 31 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | +1 | 29 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 |
hodd
|
21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -9 | 24 |
| 13 |
KFUM Oslo
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 |
Ull/Kisa
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 |
Raufoss
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 |
Bryne
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -16 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Sjølstad
Coach: H. Eriksen
Coach: V. Hansen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Raufoss
hodd
hodd
Levanger
Kongsvinger
hodd
hodd
Kristiansund
KFUM Oslo
hodd
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.