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Conference League
Referee: I Kruzliak
Strasbourg
T T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Vallecano
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 66%
62%
69%
Points per game
2,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
54%
69%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,60 xG 1,73
49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -26 Vallecano – Strasbourg 1–0

Match report

Strasbourg Vallecano
Ben Chilwell 🟨
25′
42′
⚽ Alemao 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Nanasi 🔁
↦ B. Chilwell
46′
65′
🔁 S. Camello
↦ Alemao
S. Amo-Ameyaw 🔁
↦ S. El Mourabet
67′
78′
🔁 P. Diaz
↦ I. Palazon
78′
🔁 I. Balliu
↦ J. de Frutos
Diego Moreira 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ Pacha
86′
🟨 Óscar Valentín
86′
🟨 Unai López
86′
🔁 G. Gumbau
↦ U. Lopez
88′
🟨 Augusto Batalla
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-1-4-1
39 M. Penders G
22 G. Doue D
6 I. Doukoure D
2 A. Omobamidele D
3 B. Chilwell D
29 S. El Mourabet M
7 D. Moreira M
32 V. Barco M
42 A. Ouattara M
20 M. Godo M
19 J. Enciso F
Bench (12)
1 K. Johnsson
60 G. Kerckaert
11 S. Nanasi
8 M. Oyedele
17 M. Amougou
80 G. Yassine
37 G. Kodia
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
83 R. Luis
24 L. Hogsberg
43 Y. Becker
38 J. Bosey

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
6 P. Ciss D
3 P. Chavarria D
17 U. Lopez M
23 O. Valentin M
19 J. de Frutos M
7 I. Palazon M
22 Pacha M
9 Alemao F
Bench (9)
1 D. Cardenas
30 A. Molina
8 O. Trejo
15 G. Gumbau
18 A. Garcia
4 P. Diaz
32 N. Mendy
20 I. Balliu
10 S. Camello

Coach: Inigo Perez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kruzliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.