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Conference League
Referee: K Clancy
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shkendija Valmiera / BSS
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

10 Corners 7
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shkendija Valmiera / BSS
11′
🟨 Maksims Tonisevs
1–0 E. Bejtulai
11′
25′
M. Murata 1–1
2–1 L. Doriev
33′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 D. Gueye
↦ M. Toņiševs
Ferhan Hasani 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 Pape Yare Fall
V. Nafiu 🔁
↦ A. Shala
59′
61′
🟨 Masaki Murata
66′
🟨 Masaki Murata
66′
🟥 Masaki Murata
68′
🔁 A. Ndoye
↦ C. Mena
68′
🔁 E. Birka
↦ P. Fall
69′
🟨 Djibril Gueye
F. Ramadani 🔁
↦ R. Ramadani
72′
75′
🔁 K. Penkevics
↦ R. Krollis
D. Elezi 🔁
↦ F. Hasani
79′
V. Stojanovski 🔁
↦ S. Guri
79′
Florent Ramadani 🟨
85′
3–1 F. Ramadani
85′
88′
🔁 L. Silagadze
↦ D. Yokota
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
1 K. Zahov G
16 M. Murati D
4 E. Bejtulai D
5 K. Cake D
6 M. Neziri D
18 R. Ramadani M
22 B. Dita M
17 A. Shala F
10 F. Hasani M
14 L. Doriev F
11 S. Guri F
Bench (12)
7 V. Nafiu
77 F. Ramadani
9 D. Elezi
70 V. Stojanovski
30 F. Ramani
26 J. Vondra
21 S. Bilalli
95 D. Taleski
23 B. Velija
33 M. Manevski
15 L. Sadriu
96 V. Gonçalves

Coach: A. Shakiri

Valmiera / BSS

4-4-2
1 R. Matrevics G
23 M. Toņiševs F
2 D. Balodis D
3 R. Yakuba D
17 P. Fall D
41 D. Yokota M
6 I. Zhelizko M
71 M. Murata M
10 A. Jaunzems M
11 C. Mena F
7 R. Krollis F
Bench (9)
19 D. Gueye
24 A. Ndoye
27 E. Birka
21 K. Penkevics
14 L. Silagadze
4 R. Veips
26 K. Lauva
8 K. Čudars
13 L. Vapne

Coach: J. Kalns

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.