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Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Leverkusen

S U S S S

1–4

Full-time

Wolfsburg

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

59%

37%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

63%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

10 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

12 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 4. · Wolfsburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	20	4	4	+53	64
2	Dortmund	28	17	6	5	+40	57
3	RB Leipzig	27	15	9	3	+41	54
4	Leverkusen	27	16	5	6	+20	53
5	M'gladbach	27	16	4	7	+19	52
6	Wolfsburg	27	10	9	8	+3	39
7	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	-2	37
8	Schalke 04	27	9	10	8	-10	37
9	Hoffenheim	27	10	6	11	-11	36
10	FC Koln	27	10	4	13	-6	34
11	Hertha	27	9	7	11	-9	34
12	Augsburg	27	8	6	13	-14	30
13	Union Berlin	27	9	3	15	-15	30
14	Ein Frankfurt	26	8	4	14	-8	28
15	Mainz	27	8	3	16	-24	27
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	5	9	13	-23	24
17	Werder Bremen	26	5	6	15	-30	21
18	Paderborn	27	4	6	17	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	14	10	3	1	+34	33
2	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+30	32
3	M'gladbach	14	9	2	3	+12	29
4	RB Leipzig	13	7	5	1	+19	26
5	Leverkusen	13	7	4	2	+12	25
6	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+9	21
7	FC Koln	14	6	3	5	+4	21
8	Schalke 04	14	5	6	3	-3	21
9	Freiburg	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	Union Berlin	13	6	1	6	+0	19
11	Augsburg	13	5	3	5	+2	18
12	Wolfsburg	14	4	6	4	+1	18
13	Hoffenheim	14	5	1	8	-15	16
14	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-10	15
15	Mainz	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	4	6	-10	13
17	Paderborn	14	2	2	10	-14	8
18	Werder Bremen	12	1	2	9	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+22	28
3	Leverkusen	14	9	1	4	+8	28
4	Dortmund	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	M'gladbach	13	7	2	4	+7	23
6	Wolfsburg	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Hoffenheim	13	5	5	3	+4	20
8	Hertha	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Freiburg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
10	Schalke 04	13	4	4	5	-7	16
11	Werder Bremen	14	4	4	6	-9	16
12	FC Koln	13	4	1	8	-10	13
13	Mainz	13	4	1	8	-13	13
14	Augsburg	14	3	3	8	-16	12
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	2	5	7	-13	11
16	Union Berlin	14	3	2	9	-15	11
17	Paderborn	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	13	2	1	10	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.