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Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Freiburg

S U T S T

1–3

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,5

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 50%

47%

53%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

60%

93%

Both score Ø 67%

60%

73%

Average goals

2,8

4,1

Scored

1,6

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 6. · Bayern Munich 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	16	10	4	2	+26	34
2	M'gladbach	15	10	1	4	+13	31
3	Dortmund	16	8	6	2	+18	30
4	Schalke 04	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	Bayern Munich	15	8	3	4	+20	27
6	Freiburg	15	7	4	4	+6	25
7	Leverkusen	16	7	4	5	+1	25
8	Hoffenheim	16	7	3	6	-4	24
9	Wolfsburg	15	6	5	4	+2	23
10	Augsburg	16	6	5	5	-1	23
11	Union Berlin	16	6	2	8	-3	20
12	Ein Frankfurt	15	5	3	7	+1	18
13	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-7	18
14	Mainz	16	6	0	10	-13	18
15	Werder Bremen	16	3	5	8	-17	14
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	3	3	10	-19	12
17	FC Koln	15	3	2	10	-16	11
18	Paderborn	15	2	3	10	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+17	18
3	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+17	16
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	Schalke 04	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Union Berlin	9	5	0	4	+1	15
7	RB Leipzig	7	4	2	1	+12	14
8	Augsburg	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+5	14
10	Leverkusen	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Wolfsburg	8	3	3	2	+0	12
12	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-6	10
13	Hertha	7	3	0	4	-3	9
14	Mainz	7	3	0	4	-4	9
15	FC Koln	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	1	4	-7	7
17	Werder Bremen	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Paderborn	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Hoffenheim	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	M'gladbach	7	4	0	3	+3	12
5	Dortmund	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Leverkusen	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Bayern Munich	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Wolfsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Freiburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Hertha	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Werder Bremen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	-6	9
13	Mainz	9	3	0	6	-9	9
14	Union Berlin	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Paderborn	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	2	6	-12	5
17	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-13	4
18	Ein Frankfurt	7	1	0	6	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.