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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Mohammad Hafezi

hodd

S S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

hodd Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 61%

44%

78%

Points per game

1,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 39%

56%

22%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,1

2,2

Conceded

1,1

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match hodd 6. · Lillestrom 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	9	7	2	0	+17	23
2	Kongsvinger	10	5	2	3	+9	17
3	Start	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Odd	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Sogndal	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	hodd	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Aalesund	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Egersund	8	4	1	3	+1	13
9	Raufoss	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Ranheim	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Moss	9	4	0	5	-8	12
13	Asane	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Mjondalen	9	1	2	6	-14	5
15	Lyn	9	1	1	7	-6	4
16	Skeid	9	0	3	6	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Lillestrom	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Moss	5	4	0	1	+4	12
4	Kongsvinger	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Sogndal	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Raufoss	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Aalesund	5	2	3	0	+4	9
8	Stabaek	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Ranheim	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Start	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Egersund	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	hodd	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Asane	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Skeid	4	0	2	2	-5	2
15	Lyn	5	0	1	4	-5	1
16	Mjondalen	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	3	2	0	+10	11
2	Start	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	hodd	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Kongsvinger	5	2	1	2	+2	7
5	Egersund	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Ranheim	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Sogndal	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Aalesund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Stabaek	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Asane	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Mjondalen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Lyn	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Odd	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Raufoss	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Skeid	5	0	1	4	-4	1
16	Moss	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.