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DBU Pokalen
Sundby
S S T S S
0–7
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S U S U
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sundby Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,7
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Roskilde 3 3 0 0 +11 9
2 Vanløse 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Middelfart 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +15 6
5 Kolding IF 3 2 0 1 +10 6
6 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
7 Skjold Sæby 2 2 0 0 +9 6
8 Næsby 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 HIK 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Brabrand 2 2 0 0 +7 6
11 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +5 6
13 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Sundby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Aarhus Fremad 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 Vatanspor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
18 AB Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Skovshoved 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Lyngby 2 2 0 0 +3 6
21 Odense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Frem 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 Nykobing FC 3 1 2 0 +2 5
24 Naestved 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Thisted FC 2 1 0 1 +6 3
26 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +5 3
27 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +5 3
28 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +4 3
29 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +4 3
30 Espergærde 2 1 0 1 +3 3
31 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 +3 3
32 KRFK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Frederikssund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Aalborg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Sydkysten 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Fuglebakken KFUM 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 SGI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 FC Helsingor 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 NB Bornholm 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 OKS 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Brønderslev 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Avarta 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Skive 2 1 0 1 -3 3
48 Lyseng 2 1 0 1 -3 3
49 Såby 2 1 0 1 -3 3
50 Munkebo 2 1 0 1 -4 3
51 Viby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 ASA Aarhus 2 0 1 1 -4 1
53 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Vejgaard B 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Morud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Varde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Holbæk B&I 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Ishøj 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Boldklubben FIX 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Aalborg KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 GVI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Vaerlose 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Føroyar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Køge Nord 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Silkeborg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Kolding B 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Aarhus Black Vipers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Hobro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Slagelse B&I 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 tst Fodbold 1 0 0 1 -5 0
88 Hedensted 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 Handelsstandens 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 BSI 1 0 0 1 -6 0
91 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -6 0
92 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 Skanderborg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
94 Bogense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Aabybro 1 0 0 1 -8 0
97 Glamsbjerg 1 0 0 1 -8 0
98 Vaeggerlose 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sundby Midtjylland
29′
J. Emefile 0–1
K. Watjen
34′
K. Watjen 0–2
42′
K. Watjen 0–3
M. Rajovic
G. Frederiksen 🟨
44′
45′
J. Emefile 0–4
A. Ndiaye
Half-time 0–4
46′
🔁 D. Castillo
↦ V. Bak
46′
🔁 S. Iheanacho
↦ D. Martinez
46′
🔁 F. Etim
↦ M. Erlic
N. Andersen 🔁
↦ M. Belmaillah
46′
M. Krogh Hansen 🔁
↦ G. Pyne-Cole
46′
R. F. Hansen 🔁
↦ M. Jorgensen
46′
47′
M. Rajovic 0–5
50′
🟨
64′
🔁 M. Uhre
↦ M. Rajovic
C. Illum 🔁
↦ E. Langfeldt Eriksen
66′
68′
F. Etim 0–6
S. Johannesen
N. Jacobsen 🔁
↦ J. Becker
72′
73′
🔁 F. Vestergaard
↦ K. Watjen
77′
J. Emefile 0–7
🟨
84′
Full-time 0–7

Line-ups

Sundby

24 L. Poulsen
2 M. Langhorn
5 M. Jorgensen
12 E. Langfeldt Eriksen
19 K. Trkulja
16 G. Frederiksen
6 J. Becker
20 M. Belmaillah
25 B. Juel-Berg
18 O. Karlsen
10 G. Pyne-Cole
Bench (9)
1 D. V. Jensen
4 M. Vandal
7 C. Illum
8 N. Andersen
9 M. Krogh Hansen
13 N. Jacobsen
14 R. F. Hansen
17 L. Carstensen
26 M. Cengiz

Midtjylland

25 N. Bakker
34 A. Ndiaye
6 M. Erlic
15 D. Beni
38 J. Emefile
29 K. Watjen
19 P. Bravo
55 V. Bak
98 D. Martinez
27 S. Johannesen
9 M. Rajovic
Bench (9)
1 E. Olafsson
5 R. Kristensen
10 Cho Gue-Sung
17 M. Uhre
18 S. Iheanacho
21 D. Castillo
33 A. Djabi
42 F. Vestergaard
90 F. Etim

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
27,00
U
8,90
B ✓
1,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,08
U1,5
7,00
O2,5 ✓
1,32
U2,5
3,25
O3,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5
1,89
Both teams to score
BLS ja
2,93
BLS nei ✓
1,33

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.