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DBU Pokalen
Referee: P Gammelholm
Skive
S T S
1–3
Full-time
Thisted FC
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Skive Thisted FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 74%
67%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,6
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
7,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Skive 37. · Thisted FC 29.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 B 93 2 2 0 0 +21 6
2 FA 2000 2 2 0 0 +12 6
3 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Vanløse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 AB Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +18 3
8 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
9 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
10 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 VRI 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Tune 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Viby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Dalum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Bagsværd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 AB Tårnby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Søften 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 HIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Aabenraa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Naestved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Ringkøbing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 B 1908 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
44 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Fjordager 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 tst Fodbold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
78 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
79 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
82 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
83 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
84 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
85 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
86 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
87 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
88 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
89 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
90 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
91 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.