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KNVB Beker
Referee: M ter Velde
TOGB
T T
0–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TOGB Noordwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Sportlust '46 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 TEC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hercules 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Poortugaal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Ijsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hoek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Dovo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Vvsb 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 OJC Rosmalen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Quick '20 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Achilles Veen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 SC Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Kolping Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 FC Lisse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Olde Veste '54 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.