OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sandnes ULF
Jerv
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ham-Kam
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 |
Fredrikstad
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |
Asane
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |
Bryne
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 5 |
Raufoss
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 6 |
Aalesund
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 10 |
| 7 |
Start
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Ull/Kisa
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 10 |
| 9 |
Jerv
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |
Sandnes ULF
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +0 | 9 |
| 11 |
Sogndal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 8 |
| 12 |
KFUM Oslo
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Grorud
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |
Ranheim
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Strommen
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Asane
Sandnes ULF
Stjørdals-Blink
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Raufoss
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Ull/Kisa
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.