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Copa del Rey
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chiclana Melilla CD
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Astur 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Villamuriel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chiclana Melilla CD
1–0 J. Caballero
34′
2–0 Dani
37′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Juanito
53′
Full-time 3–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.