Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Djurgarden
|
30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | +34 | 66 |
| 2 |
Malmo FF
|
30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | +40 | 65 |
| 3 |
Hammarby
|
30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | +37 | 65 |
| 4 |
AIK
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | +23 | 62 |
| 5 |
Norrkoping
|
30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +28 | 57 |
| 6 |
Hacken
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 49 |
| 7 |
Goteborg
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |
Elfsborg
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 | Orebro | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 33 |
| 10 |
Helsingborg
|
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 30 |
| 11 |
Sirius
|
30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Ostersunds | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -25 | 25 |
| 13 | Falkenbergs | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -37 | 25 |
| 14 |
Kalmar
|
30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 |
Sundsvall
|
30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -32 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.