Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Goteborg
Djurgarden
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hammarby
|
28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | +33 | 59 |
| 2 |
Malmo FF
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | +33 | 59 |
| 3 |
Djurgarden
|
27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | +30 | 59 |
| 4 |
AIK
|
28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | +24 | 59 |
| 5 |
Norrkoping
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | +27 | 53 |
| 6 |
Hacken
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Goteborg
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 8 |
Elfsborg
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Orebro | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 |
Helsingborg
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 27 |
| 11 | Ostersunds | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 25 |
| 12 |
Sirius
|
28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -20 | 25 |
| 13 |
Kalmar
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 |
Sundsvall
|
28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -17 | 20 |
| 15 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -31 | 19 |
| 16 | Falkenbergs | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -39 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Malmo FF
Goteborg
Goteborg
Hacken
AIK
Goteborg
Goteborg
Sirius
Hammarby
Goteborg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.