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LaLiga2
Almeria
T S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Alcorcon
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 37%
44%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 22
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 3. · Alcorcon 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 35 17 11 7 +13 62
2 Zaragoza 35 17 10 8 +14 61
3 Almeria 34 15 11 8 +21 56
4 Huesca 35 16 7 12 +8 55
5 Girona 35 14 10 11 +6 52
6 Elche 35 13 11 11 +7 50
7 Vallecano 34 10 18 6 +8 48
8 Ponferradina 35 11 15 9 +4 48
9 Mirandes 35 11 15 9 -3 48
10 Tenerife 35 12 10 13 +3 46
11 Las Palmas 35 11 13 11 -3 46
12 Sp Gijon 34 12 9 13 +3 45
13 Alcorcon 34 10 15 9 +1 45
14 Fuenlabrada 34 11 12 11 +1 45
15 Malaga 35 8 17 10 -2 41
16 La Coruna 35 9 14 12 -17 41
17 Oviedo 34 9 13 12 -5 40
18 Albacete 35 10 10 15 -13 40
19 Numancia 35 9 11 15 -6 38
20 Lugo 35 8 14 13 -14 38
21 Extremadura UD 35 7 12 16 -15 33
22 Santander 35 4 18 13 -11 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Oct -19 Alcorcon – Almeria 2–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,20
B ✓
4,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.