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LaLiga2

Malaga

S U T T U

1–1

Full-time

Vallecano

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,3

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

1,4

3,2

Scored

0,6

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 6

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 16. · Vallecano 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Zaragoza	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Almeria	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Fuenlabrada	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Huesca	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Vallecano	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Numancia	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Elche	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Tenerife	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Alcorcon	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Ponferradina	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Sp Gijon	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Lugo	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Albacete	5	2	0	3	-7	6
16	Malaga	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Mirandes	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	La Coruna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Las Palmas	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Santander	5	0	2	3	-4	2
21	Extremadura UD	5	0	2	3	-4	2
22	Oviedo	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Zaragoza	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Vallecano	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Girona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Numancia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Ponferradina	3	1	2	0	+4	5
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Fuenlabrada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Lugo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Mirandes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Albacete	2	1	0	1	-3	3
16	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Extremadura UD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Santander	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Elche	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Oviedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Las Palmas	3	0	1	2	-4	1
22	Alcorcon	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Alcorcon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Elche	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Fuenlabrada	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Malaga	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Huesca	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Tenerife	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Albacete	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	Lugo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Numancia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Ponferradina	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Santander	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Extremadura UD	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Oviedo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
22	Girona	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.