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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Toulouse

T S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Nantes

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	38	24	11	3	+41	83
2	Paris SG	38	26	4	8	+58	82
3	Monaco	38	24	6	8	+34	78
4	Lyon	38	22	10	6	+38	76
5	Marseille	38	16	12	10	+7	60
6	Rennes	38	16	10	12	+12	58
7	Lens	38	15	12	11	+1	57
8	Montpellier	38	14	12	12	-2	54
9	Nice	38	15	7	16	-3	52
10	Metz	38	12	11	15	-4	47
11	St Etienne	38	12	10	16	-12	46
12	Bordeaux	38	13	6	19	-14	45
13	Angers	38	12	8	18	-18	44
14	Reims	38	9	15	14	-8	42
15	Strasbourg	38	11	9	18	-9	42
16	Lorient	38	11	9	18	-18	42
17	Brest	38	11	8	19	-16	41
18	Nantes	38	9	13	16	-8	40
19	Nimes	38	9	8	21	-31	35
20	Dijon	38	4	9	25	-48	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	19	12	5	2	+22	41
2	Paris SG	19	13	1	5	+30	40
3	Lille	19	10	7	2	+17	37
4	Lyon	19	11	3	5	+19	36
5	Marseille	19	10	5	4	+9	35
6	Lorient	19	10	2	7	+2	32
7	Rennes	19	9	4	6	+5	31
8	Lens	19	7	7	5	+2	28
9	Brest	19	8	4	7	-1	28
10	Montpellier	19	7	4	8	-1	25
11	Bordeaux	19	7	4	8	-2	25
12	Nice	19	7	3	9	-5	24
13	Angers	19	6	3	10	-7	21
14	St Etienne	19	5	6	8	-9	21
15	Reims	19	4	8	7	-5	20
16	Metz	19	5	5	9	-7	20
17	Nantes	19	3	8	8	-8	17
18	Strasbourg	19	4	5	10	-8	17
19	Nimes	19	3	5	11	-17	14
20	Dijon	19	1	6	12	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	19	14	4	1	+24	46
2	Paris SG	19	13	3	3	+28	42
3	Lyon	19	11	7	1	+19	40
4	Monaco	19	12	1	6	+12	37
5	Lens	19	8	5	6	-1	29
6	Montpellier	19	7	8	4	-1	29
7	Nice	19	8	4	7	+2	28
8	Rennes	19	7	6	6	+7	27
9	Metz	19	7	6	6	+3	27
10	Strasbourg	19	7	4	8	-1	25
11	Marseille	19	6	7	6	-2	25
12	St Etienne	19	7	4	8	-3	25
13	Nantes	19	6	5	8	+0	23
14	Angers	19	6	5	8	-11	23
15	Reims	19	5	7	7	-3	22
16	Nimes	19	6	3	10	-14	21
17	Bordeaux	19	6	2	11	-12	20
18	Brest	19	3	4	12	-15	13
19	Dijon	19	3	3	13	-25	12
20	Lorient	19	1	7	11	-20	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.