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Championship

Referee: Gavin Ward

Reading

S T U S S

0–3

Full-time

Leeds

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Championship · 36/34 matches

Win Ø 39%

22%

56%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 59%

58%

59%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

38% Possession 62%

9 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reading 19. · Leeds 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	36	21	9	6	+27	72
2	Sheffield United	37	21	8	8	+29	71
3	Leeds	34	19	7	8	+17	64
4	Middlesbrough	35	15	13	7	+13	58
5	West Brom	34	16	9	9	+18	57
6	Derby	33	15	10	8	+11	55
7	Bristol City	36	15	10	11	+7	55
8	Nott'm Forest	36	13	14	9	+10	53
9	Preston	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	Birmingham	36	12	14	10	+7	50
11	Hull	36	14	8	14	-1	50
12	Brentford	36	13	10	13	+11	49
13	Sheffield Weds	36	12	13	11	-7	49
14	Aston Villa	33	11	14	8	+7	47
15	Swansea	35	13	8	14	+2	47
16	Blackburn	37	12	11	14	-6	47
17	Stoke	36	10	15	11	-5	45
18	QPR	36	12	7	17	-13	43
19	Reading	36	8	12	16	-13	36
20	Wigan	37	9	9	19	-19	36
21	Millwall	36	8	10	18	-16	34
22	Rotherham	36	6	15	15	-21	33
23	Bolton	36	7	8	21	-32	29
24	Ipswich	37	3	14	20	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	19	13	3	3	+22	42
2	Norwich	18	12	2	4	+11	38
3	Brentford	18	11	3	4	+21	36
4	Leeds	17	11	3	3	+15	36
5	Nott'm Forest	18	10	4	4	+11	34
6	Derby	17	9	6	2	+10	33
7	Hull	18	9	4	5	+13	31
8	Blackburn	19	8	6	5	+8	30
9	Wigan	18	8	6	4	+3	30
10	Sheffield Weds	18	7	8	3	+3	29
11	Swansea	17	8	4	5	+6	28
12	Stoke	18	8	4	6	+2	28
13	West Brom	17	7	6	4	+13	27
14	Preston	18	6	9	3	+9	27
15	Middlesbrough	17	7	6	4	+6	27
16	Bristol City	19	7	6	6	+3	27
17	QPR	18	8	3	7	+2	27
18	Birmingham	18	6	8	4	+8	26
19	Aston Villa	16	6	8	2	+7	26
20	Rotherham	18	6	8	4	-2	26
21	Millwall	18	6	6	6	-2	24
22	Reading	18	6	4	8	-1	22
23	Bolton	18	4	4	10	-14	16
24	Ipswich	18	2	9	7	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	18	9	7	2	+16	34
2	Middlesbrough	18	8	7	3	+7	31
3	West Brom	17	9	3	5	+5	30
4	Sheffield United	18	8	5	5	+7	29
5	Bristol City	17	8	4	5	+4	28
6	Leeds	17	8	4	5	+2	28
7	Birmingham	18	6	6	6	-1	24
8	Preston	18	7	3	8	-3	24
9	Derby	16	6	4	6	+1	22
10	Aston Villa	17	5	6	6	+0	21
11	Sheffield Weds	18	5	5	8	-10	20
12	Nott'm Forest	18	3	10	5	-1	19
13	Swansea	18	5	4	9	-4	19
14	Hull	18	5	4	9	-14	19
15	Stoke	18	2	11	5	-7	17
16	Blackburn	18	4	5	9	-14	17
17	QPR	18	4	4	10	-15	16
18	Reading	18	2	8	8	-12	14
19	Brentford	18	2	7	9	-10	13
20	Bolton	18	3	4	11	-18	13
21	Millwall	18	2	4	12	-14	10
22	Ipswich	19	1	5	13	-25	8
23	Rotherham	18	0	7	11	-19	7
24	Wigan	19	1	3	15	-22	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.