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Championship
Referee: David Webb
Bolton
T S U T T
0–2
Full-time
West Brom
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
This season — Championship · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
19%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
37%
58%
Both score Ø 57%
37%
77%
Average goals
2,1
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bolton 23. · West Brom 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 28 15 8 5 +16 53
2 Sheffield United 28 15 5 8 +17 50
3 Leeds 26 14 6 6 +12 48
4 Middlesbrough 28 12 11 5 +11 47
5 West Brom 26 13 7 6 +20 46
6 Derby 26 13 7 6 +10 46
7 Bristol City 28 12 8 8 +6 44
8 Hull 28 11 7 10 +6 40
9 Swansea 28 11 7 10 +5 40
10 Blackburn 28 10 10 8 -4 40
11 Birmingham 28 9 12 7 +7 39
12 Nott'm Forest 28 9 12 7 +7 39
13 QPR 28 11 6 11 -5 39
14 Aston Villa 27 9 11 7 +6 38
15 Stoke 28 9 11 8 -2 38
16 Sheffield Weds 28 9 8 11 -12 35
17 Brentford 28 8 10 10 +4 34
18 Preston 28 8 9 11 -2 33
19 Millwall 28 7 8 13 -10 29
20 Wigan 28 8 5 15 -13 29
21 Rotherham 28 5 10 13 -19 25
22 Reading 28 5 8 15 -12 23
23 Bolton 27 5 7 15 -22 22
24 Ipswich 28 3 9 16 -26 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -18 West Brom – Bolton 1–2

Match report

Bolton West Brom
19′
J. Rodriguez 0–1
C. Dawson
26′
🔁 S. Field
↦ C. Brunt
Paweł Olkowski 🟨
38′
Clayton Donaldson 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Mason Holgate
Half-time 0–1
W. Buckley 🔁
↦ L. Murphy
69′
J. Magennis 🔁
↦ C. Donaldson
69′
73′
🟨 Gareth Barry
75′
S. Field 0–2
J. Rodriguez
J. Pritchard 🔁
↦ C. Noone
82′
85′
🔁 B. Sako
↦ H. Robson-Kanu
93′
🔁 T. Adarabioyo
↦ R. Harper
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bolton

4-4-1-1
1 B. Alnwick G
3 A. Taylor D
5 M. Beevers D
14 J. Hobbs D
16 P. Olkowski D
19 G. O'Neil M
12 C. Noone M
15 L. Murphy M
4 J. Lowe M
10 S. Ameobi M
8 C. Donaldson F
Bench (7)
11 W. Buckley
28 J. Magennis
34 J. Pritchard
18 M. Wilson
20 R. Matthews
31 D. Wheater
48 L. Connell

Coach: P. Parkinson

West Brom

4-3-3
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
25 C. Dawson D
26 Ahmed Hegazi D
68 M. Holgate D
18 G. Barry M
11 C. Brunt M
34 R. Harper M
19 J. Rodriguez F
4 H. Robson-Kanu F
16 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
28 S. Field
6 B. Sako
24 T. Adarabioyo
5 K. Bartley
20 J. Leko
22 W. Hoolahan
23 J. Bond

Coach: D. Moore

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Webb · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.