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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Ipswich

U S

2–0

Full-time

Burnley

U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ipswich 7. · Burnley 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Hull	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ipswich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Preston	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Milton Keynes Dons	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Burnley	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Derby	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Blackburn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Reading	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	QPR	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Bolton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
23	Rotherham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Bristol City	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Burnley

D. McGoldrick 🔁

↦ R. Fraser

28′

Half-time 0–0

B. Pitman 🔁

↦ D. Murphy

46′

55′

🔁 R. Hennings

↦ J. Vossen

66′

🔁 L. Jutkiewicz

↦ S. Vokes

1–0 F. Sears ⚽

B. Pitman

66′

2–0 D. McGoldrick ⚽

A. Maitland-Niles

71′

77′

🔁 M. Taylor

↦ D. Jones

G. Coke 🔁

↦ A. Maitland-Niles

84′

90′

🟨 Michael Kightly

Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ipswich

33 B. Bialkowski G

6 C. Berra D

4 L. Chambers D

5 T. Smith D

3 J. Knudsen D

22 J. Douglas M

8 C. Skuse M

14 R. Fraser M

A. Maitland-Niles M

9 D. Murphy F

20 F. Sears F

Bench (7)

10 D. McGoldrick

11 B. Pitman

16 G. Coke

1 D. Gerken

18 J. Tabb

29 J. Emmanuel

39 L. Touré

Burnley

1 T. Heaton G

4 M. Duff D

6 B. Mee D

T. Darikwa D

M. Keane D

14 D. Jones M

11 M. Kightly M

37 S. Arfield M

10 J. Vossen F

9 S. Vokes F

21 G. Boyd M

Bench (7)

18 R. Hennings

19 L. Jutkiewicz

15 M. Taylor

17 M. Sordell

22 M. Gilks

23 S. Ward

34 T. Anderson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

15. Aug CH 11 years ago

8. Aug CH 11 years ago

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

19,9 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Ipswich

Burnley

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee