Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jerv
Sogndal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +22 | 34 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |
Sogndal
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 |
Mjondalen
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |
Ull/Kisa
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |
Sandnes ULF
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Jerv
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |
Notodden
|
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 |
Nest-Sotra
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 17 |
| 14 |
Strommen
|
16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 13 |
| 15 |
Levanger
|
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -16 | 12 |
| 16 |
Floro
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -24 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Viking
Jerv
Sogndal
Jerv
Floro
Jerv
Jerv
Nest-Sotra
Tromsdalen Uil
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.