Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mjondalen
Ham-Kam
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sogndal
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |
Viking
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 19 |
| 4 |
Mjondalen
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |
Ull/Kisa
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |
Sandnes ULF
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |
Ham-Kam
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |
Jerv
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |
Notodden
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +0 | 14 |
| 11 |
Nest-Sotra
|
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |
Kongsvinger
|
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 |
Levanger
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |
Strommen
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |
Floro
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Jonsson
V. Dragsnes
Y. Ibrahimaj
Coach: V. Hansen
S. Nordli
A. Dønnum
M. Solbakken
Coach: O. Knappen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Asane
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Sandnes ULF
Strommen
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Ull/Kisa
Kongsvinger
Mjondalen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.