Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Strommen
Ranheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | +26 | 45 |
| 2 |
Start
|
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | +16 | 37 |
| 3 |
Sandnes ULF
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +6 | 36 |
| 4 |
Ranheim
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 35 |
| 5 |
Floro
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +4 | 28 |
| 6 |
Ull/Kisa
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 |
Levanger
|
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 8 |
Strommen
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 |
Asane
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -6 | 23 |
| 11 |
Mjondalen
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 |
Kongsvinger
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | +1 | 20 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |
Elverum
|
19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -21 | 14 |
| 16 |
Arendal
|
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | -22 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: E. Olsen
A. Witry
Coach: S. Maalen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Arendal
Strommen
Strommen
Levanger
Fredrikstad
Strommen
Strommen
Jerv
Strommen
Mjondalen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.