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OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger
S S S T S
3–1
Full-time
Mjondalen
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 49%
52%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
76%
54%
Both score Ø 57%
68%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 5. · Mjondalen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kristiansund 28 18 4 6 +16 58
2 Sandefjord 28 17 5 6 +19 56
3 Jerv 26 14 6 6 +13 48
4 Sandnes ULF 27 14 5 8 +23 47
5 Kongsvinger 25 13 5 7 +14 44
6 Mjondalen 26 12 8 6 +11 44
7 Levanger 28 12 5 11 +0 41
8 Strommen 28 11 8 9 -3 41
9 Ranheim 28 11 4 13 -3 37
10 Asane 28 9 7 12 -2 34
11 Fredrikstad 28 8 8 12 -12 32
12 hodd 28 8 6 14 -18 30
13 Ull/Kisa 28 7 7 14 -4 28
14 Bryne 28 6 9 13 -16 27
15 KFUM Oslo 28 6 8 14 -12 26
16 Raufoss 28 5 3 20 -26 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Mjondalen
1–0 A. Güven
40′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 A. Pellegrino
↦ O. Boye
Helio Pinto 🔁
↦ J. Wennberg
69′
2–0 A. Güven
70′
83′
🔁 K. Grewal
↦ E. Midtgarden
87′
J. Lindseth 2–1
Dani Mederos 🔁
↦ O. Fredrikson
89′
3–1 Helio Pinto
90′
92′
🔁 M. Stilson
↦ L. Fuhre
M. Niang 🔁
↦ A. Güven
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 O. Fredrikson
3 J. Richardsen
15 K. Suslov
4 A. Ovlien
2 F. Pålerud
20 Ø. Røyrane
6 J. Wennberg
8 M. Ellingsen
16 H. Holter
9 A. Güven
11 Maikel
Bench (7)
17 Helio Pinto
23 Dani Mederos
19 M. Niang
7 D. Murnane
10 E. Nystuen
14 M. Skjellum
21 S. Stølen

Coach: Luis Pimenta

Mjondalen

1 S. Makani
3 J. Solberg
2 U. Arneberg
4 W. Sell
23 L. Fuhre
11 C. Gauseth
15 M. Fredriksen
19 J. Lindseth
21 M. Olsen
10 E. Midtgarden
20 O. Boye
Bench (6)
7 A. Pellegrino
5 K. Grewal
6 M. Stilson
8 K. Olie
25 V. Eriksen
30 M. Jørgensen

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.