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Conference League
Referee: I Christodoulou
Velež
T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Milsami Orhei
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Velež Milsami Orhei
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Velež Milsami Orhei
30′
🟨 W. Fonkeu
39′
🟨 A. Angelov
Half-time 0–0
M. Besic 🔁
↦ A. Shhade
46′
46′
🔁 P. Odubia
↦ V. Luchita
A. Mesic 🟨
53′
54′
P. Odubia 0–1
K. Kalabatama
L. Ignatov 🔁
↦ A. Mesic
65′
67′
🔁 S. Izountouemoi
↦ H. Asmelash
R. Abdullah 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 S. Chele
↦ D. Muringen
76′
🟨 P. Odubia
A. Nukic 🟨
80′
D. Halilovic 🔁
↦ N. Stojanovic
80′
A. Hrkac 🟨
84′
1–1 L. Ignatov
M. Besic
90′
91′
🔁 L. Bulmaga
↦ Igor Souza
A. Bajric 🔁
↦ A. Spahic
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Velež

1 F. Ribic
8 A. Hrkac
6 R. Abdullah
13 A. Omerovic
7 A. Nukic
29 A. Babic
17 A. Shhade
11 A. Mesic
18 S. Duranovic
80 N. Stojanovic
9 A. Spahic
Bench (9)
12 E. Mataradzic
10 D. Salcin
20 D. Halilovic
21 A. Pajevic
45 K. Djuliman
55 A. Bajric
66 F. Setic
83 M. Besic
88 L. Ignatov

Coach: Ibro Rahimic

Milsami Orhei

31 F. Dujmovic
29 H. Asmelash
4 A. Angelov
34 Decio Neto
24 D. Muringen
30 F. Takyi
33 W. Fonkeu
5 C. Nwaeze
13 V. Luchita
28 K. Kalabatama
20 Igor Souza
Bench (8)
35 D. Vornic
7 C. Silcenco
9 K. Dudziak
10 R. Ginsari
11 S. Chele
14 P. Odubia
17 L. Bulmaga
21 S. Izountouemoi

Coach: Alexei Savinov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.