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Champions League
Referee: D Fuxman
Rīgas FS
T
2–1
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

7 Corners 6
7 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Jul -22 HJK Helsinki – Rīgas FS 1–0

Match report

Rīgas FS HJK Helsinki
19′
🔁 A. Olusanya
↦ P. Soiri
Žiga Lipušček 🟨
22′
Artūrs Zjuzins 🟨
29′
Alfusainey Jatta 🟨
39′
44′
🟨 Murilo
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Zjuzins ⚽
48′
54′
🔁 S. Hostikka
↦ M. Peltola
K. Friesenbichler 🔁
↦ A. Zjuzins
56′
2–0 S. Panić ⚽
56′
Kevin Friesenbichler 🟨
66′
75′
⚽ Murilo 2–1
Petr Mareš 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 F. Serrarens
↦ A. Olusanya
81′
🟨 Miro Tenho
100′
🔁 C. Terho
↦ D. Browne
Tomislav Šarić 🟨
102′
E. Stuglis 🔁
↦ A. Ilić
105′
109′
🟨 Përparim Hetemaj
3–1 V. Jagodinskis ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ S. Väänänen 3–2
4–2 T. Šarić ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ Murilo 4–3
S. Panić ❌
penalty missed
125′
126′
⚽ B. Radulović 4–4
5–4 Ž. Lipušček ⚽
127′
128′
⚽ F. Serrarens 5–5
6–5 P. Mareš ⚽
129′
130′
⚽ C. Terho 6–6
Full-time 6–6

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
12 P. Šteinbors G
6 A. Jatta M
92 V. Jagodinskis D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
25 P. Mareš D
28 S. Panić M
24 T. Šarić M
66 J. Vlalukin D
3 A. Zjuzins M
9 Emerson Deocleciano F
19 A. Ilić F
Bench (10)
30 K. Friesenbichler
21 E. Stuglis
77 K. Dubra
4 V. Maksimenko
86 S. Cvetković
99 G. Žaleiko
7 I. Diomandé
2 V. Sorokins
13 J. Ņerugals
1 V. Černiauskas

Coach: V. Morozs

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
1 C. Hazard G
15 M. Tenho D
5 A. Hoskonen D
22 J. Raitala D
14 M. Peltola M
21 S. Väänänen M
56 P. Hetemaj M
20 Murilo D
24 D. Browne F
18 B. Radulović F
23 P. Soiri M
Bench (8)
29 A. Olusanya
7 S. Hostikka
44 F. Serrarens
19 C. Terho
3 J. Saksela
12 J. Tånnander
58 J. Yli-Kokko
37 A. Tanaka

Coach: T. Koskela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.